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                            <title><![CDATA[ Latest from Next TV in Investor-day ]]></title>
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                                                            <title><![CDATA[ Fox: Retrans Rates Will Rise ]]></title>
                                                                                                <dc:content><![CDATA[ <p>Fox executives told an audience of analysts at its Investor Day meeting Thursday what they had been waiting to hear for months -- with its focus on live news and sports, the newly broadcast-centric company will use that clout to extract higher retransmission consent fees from pay TV operators.</p><p>Fox shares rose nearly 5% ($1.83 each) in early trading Thursday, to $39.25 per share. The stock was trading at $38.48, up 2.8% ($1.06 each) at noon.</p><p>Fox, which after the sale of certain cable assets to the Walt Disney Co. in March left it with the Fox broadcast network, 28 owned and operated TV stations, Fox News Channel, Fox Business Network, and sports channels FS 1, FS 2 and Big Ten Network, is calling its newfound focus “The Power of Now.” Pay TV operators have long expected the company to use that clout to raise retrans rates. Thursday, Fox chief operating officer John Nallen confirmed their fears.</p><p>“We plan to meaningfully accelerate our growth of both direct retransmission and non-O&O revenue and we believe the broadcast economics we receive are quite underpriced relative to the quality of the content we are providing,” Nallen said at the Investor Day.</p><p>Just how much of an increase that will be wasn’t revealed. But analysts have predicted for months that their would be a meaningful acceleration in retrans fees, a combination of recent sports rights deals the company has struck and the fact that a large portion of its broadcast subscriber base will come up for renewal by 2022.</p><p>“[N]ew long-term sports rights deals locked up with the NFL (Thursday Night Football), MLB (an extension of the existing deal through 2028) and WWE (which kicks in in October, 2019) leave us optimistic in the company’s ability to drive meaningful retransmission fee step-ups as nearly all of the subscriber base is repriced over the coming three years," Evercore ISI media analyst Vijay Jayant wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>Retrans fees were up 29% in the fiscal third quarter at Fox, and that momentum is expected to continue. Cable network affiliate fees, up 4% in fiscal Q3, are expected to rise at a slower pace.</p><p>Fox had <a href="https://www.nexttv.com/news/fox-closes-disney-deal-issues-affiliate-fee-warning" data-original-url="https://www.multichannel.com/news/fox-closes-disney-deal-issues-affiliate-fee-warning">issued a warning</a> that cable network affiliate fee revenue would slow in the second half of 2019, mainly because of tough comparisons to the prior year after big renewals for Fox News Channel with AT&T and with Comcast for Big Ten Network.</p><p>Nallen told the audience that with its new focus, Fox doesn’t have to spread its clout across other, less compelling channels.</p><p>“We are no longer lending the potency of our marketing brands toward any other initiative, brand or channel development,” Nallen said. “The purity of this sustained value opportunity from our Fox brands is critical as we’re not tethered to any properties that are just getting harder to defend. This frees us up to capture the full value of all our brands across broadcast and cable.”</p><p>Nallen added that the emergence of OTT providers as a major force in distribution -- he pointed to analysts estimates that digital distributors would have 16 million customers in the next three to four years -- could help drive cable affiliate fee increases.</p><p>“This will result in one of the digital distributors replacing a traditional player in our top four,” Nallen said of OTT subscriber growth. "And as volumes move, if a consumer wants a full bundle or a slimmed down version to accompany other services, that’s fine with us. We’re generally indifferent from a revenue standpoint between traditional and digital distributors.” </p> ]]></dc:content>
                                                                                                                                            <link>https://www.nexttv.com/news/fox-retrans-rates-will-rise</link>
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                            <![CDATA[ Fox: Retrans Rates Will Rise ]]>
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                                                                        <pubDate>Thu, 09 May 2019 16:16:04 +0000</pubDate>                                                                                                                                                                                                                                <category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
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                                                                                                                    <dc:creator><![CDATA[ Mike Farrell ]]></dc:creator>                                                                                                        <dc:description><![CDATA[ null ]]></dc:description>
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                                <p>Fox executives told an audience of analysts at its Investor Day meeting Thursday what they had been waiting to hear for months -- with its focus on live news and sports, the newly broadcast-centric company will use that clout to extract higher retransmission consent fees from pay TV operators.</p><p>Fox shares rose nearly 5% ($1.83 each) in early trading Thursday, to $39.25 per share. The stock was trading at $38.48, up 2.8% ($1.06 each) at noon.</p><p>Fox, which after the sale of certain cable assets to the Walt Disney Co. in March left it with the Fox broadcast network, 28 owned and operated TV stations, Fox News Channel, Fox Business Network, and sports channels FS 1, FS 2 and Big Ten Network, is calling its newfound focus “The Power of Now.” Pay TV operators have long expected the company to use that clout to raise retrans rates. Thursday, Fox chief operating officer John Nallen confirmed their fears.</p><p>“We plan to meaningfully accelerate our growth of both direct retransmission and non-O&O revenue and we believe the broadcast economics we receive are quite underpriced relative to the quality of the content we are providing,” Nallen said at the Investor Day.</p><p>Just how much of an increase that will be wasn’t revealed. But analysts have predicted for months that their would be a meaningful acceleration in retrans fees, a combination of recent sports rights deals the company has struck and the fact that a large portion of its broadcast subscriber base will come up for renewal by 2022.</p><p>“[N]ew long-term sports rights deals locked up with the NFL (Thursday Night Football), MLB (an extension of the existing deal through 2028) and WWE (which kicks in in October, 2019) leave us optimistic in the company’s ability to drive meaningful retransmission fee step-ups as nearly all of the subscriber base is repriced over the coming three years," Evercore ISI media analyst Vijay Jayant wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>Retrans fees were up 29% in the fiscal third quarter at Fox, and that momentum is expected to continue. Cable network affiliate fees, up 4% in fiscal Q3, are expected to rise at a slower pace.</p><p>Fox had <a href="https://www.nexttv.com/news/fox-closes-disney-deal-issues-affiliate-fee-warning" data-original-url="https://www.multichannel.com/news/fox-closes-disney-deal-issues-affiliate-fee-warning">issued a warning</a> that cable network affiliate fee revenue would slow in the second half of 2019, mainly because of tough comparisons to the prior year after big renewals for Fox News Channel with AT&T and with Comcast for Big Ten Network.</p><p>Nallen told the audience that with its new focus, Fox doesn’t have to spread its clout across other, less compelling channels.</p><p>“We are no longer lending the potency of our marketing brands toward any other initiative, brand or channel development,” Nallen said. “The purity of this sustained value opportunity from our Fox brands is critical as we’re not tethered to any properties that are just getting harder to defend. This frees us up to capture the full value of all our brands across broadcast and cable.”</p><p>Nallen added that the emergence of OTT providers as a major force in distribution -- he pointed to analysts estimates that digital distributors would have 16 million customers in the next three to four years -- could help drive cable affiliate fee increases.</p><p>“This will result in one of the digital distributors replacing a traditional player in our top four,” Nallen said of OTT subscriber growth. "And as volumes move, if a consumer wants a full bundle or a slimmed down version to accompany other services, that’s fine with us. We’re generally indifferent from a revenue standpoint between traditional and digital distributors.” </p>
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                                                            <title><![CDATA[ Disney Investor Day: Feast or Famine? ]]></title>
                                                                                                <dc:content><![CDATA[ <p>The Walt Disney Co. is expected to pull the covers off its new entertainment streaming service -- Disney + -- tomorrow at its Investor Day in beautiful downtown Burbank, California. And though the content giant has promised to shed light on its somewhat dusky OTT strategy, analysts are mixed at what they will actually see.</p><p>Disney <a href="https://www.nexttv.com/news/iger-disney-will-run-hulu-with-partners-in-mind" data-original-url="https://www.multichannel.com/news/iger-disney-will-run-hulu-with-partners-in-mind">announced Disney +</a> in November, and has let some information dribble out in the interim concerning shows -- a new live action Star Wars series helmed by <em>Iron Man</em> director Jon Favreau (<em>The Mandalorian</em>), new Marvel series and live-action reboots of animated films like <em>Lady and The Tramp</em>. But several key questions -- including pricing and just what the service will mean to other Disney licensing deals -- have remained unanswered.</p><figure class="van-image-figure pull-" data-bordeaux-image-check ><div class='image-full-width-wrapper'><div class='image-widthsetter' ><p class="vanilla-image-block" style="padding-top:56.25%;"><img id="6wYzDS8aJupWzLZoGYWwvM" name="" alt="" src="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/6wYzDS8aJupWzLZoGYWwvM.jpg" mos="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/6wYzDS8aJupWzLZoGYWwvM.jpg" align="" fullscreen="" width="" height="" attribution="" endorsement="" class="pull-"></p></div></div></figure><p>Disney has promised at least a somewhat deep dive into its streaming strategy at the <a href="https://www.thewaltdisneycompany.com/the-walt-disney-companys-2019-investor-day-webcast/">Investor Day,</a> which is scheduled to start at 5 p.m. Eastern Time on April 11 and end by 8:30 p.m.  Here’s a look at what some analysts say they hope they’ll see and some things they won’t.</p><p><strong>Lots of Video Clips of Content:</strong> Sanford Bernstein media analyst Todd Juenger wrote in a note to clients that investors hungry for video clips of shows and other snippets of content from the Disney + service should get their fill.</p><p>“They will perhaps show mocked-up screen shots of the interface,” Juenger wrote. “They will definitely remind everyone of the 2019 movie slate. They will introduce the Fox assets and capabilities, for the first time under the Disney umbrella. They will talk at high level about the appeal of the DTC strategy, the power of the Disney brands, the end market potential for DTC, the strategic benefits of having direct customer relationships (and how that can be exploited across divisions).”</p><p><strong>Guidance:</strong> Some analysts like Morgan Stanley’s Ben Swinburne have stated they hope Disney will give at least some guidance as to their streaming plans - although he wrote in a note to clients that he hopes they don’t give long-term subscriber guidance, given the inherent uncertainty. But as far as financial guidance, Juenger believes investors shouldn’t hold their breath.</p><p>“Disney is not going to put themselves in a box by giving guidance,” Juenger wrote. “Not going to make promises that they then have to keep (or break), even if circumstances unfold differently than they expect (which, of course, they will). Even on the most basic of inputs.”</p><p>But Juenger held out hope that Disney would show at least some signs of how aggressive they plan to be, but added that investors had to watch for them carefully.</p><p>“How willing they are to sacrifice near-term earnings/FCF in pursuit of the future opportunity,” Juenger wrote. “This will not be in the form of guidance, but in the form of the code words and body language chosen by the management team.</p><p>Wolfe Research managing director Marci Ryvicker is hoping for a little more, although she wrote in her weekly “What’s Hot, What’s Not” note to clients that any optimism around receiving meaningful insight may have more to do with whether investors are in for the long or short term.</p><p><a href="https://www.nexttv.com/news/disney-direct-to-consumer-international-losses-doubled-in-2018" data-original-url="https://www.multichannel.com/news/disney-direct-to-consumer-international-losses-doubled-in-2018">Related: Disney: Direct-to-Consumer, International Losses Doubled in 2018 </a></p><p>Ryvicker noted that hedge fund managers were worried that they wouldn’t get much out of the Disney Investor Day -- maybe some original content spend figures and international launch dates -- while long-term investors were more optimistic.</p><p>“On the other hand, a bunch of long-onlies are thinking we could get sub targets for the next few years as well as enough information to allow us to model all the way down to EPS for the DTCI segment,” Ryvicker wrote. “As one long-only said ‘I am not flying to [California] to watch movies…’”</p><p>Ryvicker added she was more on the positive side, and that the Investor Day is an opportunity for Disney to “clear up a lot of the uncertainty and explain its complete DTC strategy – with Hulu and Fox content, etc.”</p><figure class="van-image-figure pull-" data-bordeaux-image-check ><div class='image-full-width-wrapper'><div class='image-widthsetter' ><p class="vanilla-image-block" style="padding-top:56.25%;"><img id="gSRU7X5xNyQbqb6tYhixs9" name="" alt="" src="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/gSRU7X5xNyQbqb6tYhixs9.jpg" mos="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/gSRU7X5xNyQbqb6tYhixs9.jpg" align="" fullscreen="" width="" height="" attribution="" endorsement="" class="pull-"></p></div></div></figure><p>She has estimated that Disney would attract about 9 million subscribers to Disney + in the first year, ramping up to 31 million by 2023. She has also predicted the service would be priced around $7.99 per month -- based on current pricing for Netflix and CBS All Access -- rising gradually over time.</p><p>“As we’ve previously stated, we think Disney’s brand, reputation, and touch points across TV, films, retail and its parks should provide strong awareness for Disney+ (and the media attention certainly helps),” Ryvicker wrote in a research note.</p><p><a href="https://www.nexttv.com/news/disney-encouraged-by-streaming-numbers" data-original-url="https://www.multichannel.com/news/disney-encouraged-by-streaming-numbers">Related: Disney Encouraged By Streaming Numbers </a></p><p><strong>Exclusive, or Not:</strong> One of the biggest questions on analysts’ minds is whether Disney will put all of its content under its own umbrella or continue to license some to third parties.</p><p>Analysts have estimated that Disney receives between $5 billion and $8 billion annually from content licensing, so giving up that much revenue won’t be easy. But they also wonder how successful a streaming service can be if a large part of Disney’s library is available from other sources for free or at a reduced price.</p><p>Juenger estimated that Disney will take its content in-house, but that it will take time.</p><p>“For us, it comes down to this: the transition to DTC has been described by management as the single biggest strategic priority for the company,” Juenger wrote. “We expect, therefore, they will do everything in their power to maximize its chances of success. The entire proposition of DTC, we think, is supposed to be: ‘if you want to watch our great content, sign up to our service.’ If that's the proposition, then the only logically consistent expectation is that, in most cases, Disney will over time put its content exclusively on its DTC service.”</p><p><a href="https://www.nexttv.com/news/disney-closes-fox-deal" data-original-url="https://www.multichannel.com/news/disney-closes-fox-deal">Related: Disney Closes Fox Deal </a></p><p><strong>Hulu: </strong>Most analysts are hoping for a deeper dive into Hulu, which despite its 25 million customers and $4 billion in revenue, has taken a back seat to Disney +.</p><figure class="van-image-figure pull-" data-bordeaux-image-check ><div class='image-full-width-wrapper'><div class='image-widthsetter' ><p class="vanilla-image-block" style="padding-top:56.25%;"><img id="rbV58QevTTEBxNDi6jUR23" name="" alt="" src="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/rbV58QevTTEBxNDi6jUR23.jpg" mos="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/rbV58QevTTEBxNDi6jUR23.jpg" align="" fullscreen="" width="" height="" attribution="" endorsement="" class="pull-"></p></div></div></figure><p>In a research note, Swinburne wrote that Disney’s control of 60% of Hulu -- via its purchase of 21st Century Fox assets -- brings immediate scale to the streaming service but also heavy losses -- between $1.3 billion and $1.6 billion per year, by some estimates.</p><p>“We hope Disney articulates a growth strategy at Hulu, including its latest thoughts on launching internationally,” Swinburne wrote.</p><p>For some, Hulu could be the streaming outlet for some of the racier Fox content Disney purchased as part of the Fox deal.</p><p>“Disney is not going to put R-rated content inside a Disney-branded product. (We agree),” Juenger wrote. “So the only logical conclusion is that Hulu becomes the home for this type of content, and it becomes a ‘companion’ product to Disney+.”</p><p>While that would appear to fragment Disney’s offerings -- forcing consumers to buy two products -- Juenger wrote it could work to Disney’s advantage.</p><p>“...Disney will co-market them and position it as being consumer friendly,” Juenger wrote. “‘We won't force you to buy both. You like our wholesome, family-oriented Disney content? Disney+ is for you. You like the edgier dramas and raunchy comedies? Hulu is for you. Better yet, buy them both and get a discount’. So far, so good.”</p><p>But unlike its much larger rival Netflix, Hulu has practically no international presence -- the service is available in Japan where it was sold to a local broadcaster in 2015. That could pose problems, Juenger added, given that the Hulu brand doesn’t mean anything outside the U.S. and that its international content portfolio -- basically the Fox library and ABC -- is a bit lacking.</p><p>“We're not sure that content proposition has much/any distinguished appeal to consumers in those markets,” Juenger wrote. “It's really no different than CBS All Access, or the upcoming Universal or Warner SVOD services. Basically each studio having its own individual service. Begging the question, will Disney heavily invest in licensing content in international markets from other third parties? Will Disney heavily invest in new, original, exclusive content for Hulu global?”</p> ]]></dc:content>
                                                                                                                                            <link>https://www.nexttv.com/blog/disney-investor-day-feast-or-famine</link>
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                            <![CDATA[ Disney Investor Day: Feast or Famine? ]]>
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                                                                        <pubDate>Wed, 10 Apr 2019 19:03:01 +0000</pubDate>                                                                                                                                                                                                                                <category><![CDATA[On The Money]]></category>
                                                                                                                    <dc:creator><![CDATA[ Mike Farrell ]]></dc:creator>                                                                                                        <dc:description><![CDATA[ null ]]></dc:description>
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                                <p>The Walt Disney Co. is expected to pull the covers off its new entertainment streaming service -- Disney + -- tomorrow at its Investor Day in beautiful downtown Burbank, California. And though the content giant has promised to shed light on its somewhat dusky OTT strategy, analysts are mixed at what they will actually see.</p><p>Disney <a href="https://www.nexttv.com/news/iger-disney-will-run-hulu-with-partners-in-mind" data-original-url="https://www.multichannel.com/news/iger-disney-will-run-hulu-with-partners-in-mind">announced Disney +</a> in November, and has let some information dribble out in the interim concerning shows -- a new live action Star Wars series helmed by <em>Iron Man</em> director Jon Favreau (<em>The Mandalorian</em>), new Marvel series and live-action reboots of animated films like <em>Lady and The Tramp</em>. But several key questions -- including pricing and just what the service will mean to other Disney licensing deals -- have remained unanswered.</p><figure class="van-image-figure pull-" data-bordeaux-image-check ><div class='image-full-width-wrapper'><div class='image-widthsetter' ><p class="vanilla-image-block" style="padding-top:56.25%;"><img id="6wYzDS8aJupWzLZoGYWwvM" name="" alt="" src="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/6wYzDS8aJupWzLZoGYWwvM.jpg" mos="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/6wYzDS8aJupWzLZoGYWwvM.jpg" align="" fullscreen="" width="" height="" attribution="" endorsement="" class="pull-"></p></div></div></figure><p>Disney has promised at least a somewhat deep dive into its streaming strategy at the <a href="https://www.thewaltdisneycompany.com/the-walt-disney-companys-2019-investor-day-webcast/">Investor Day,</a> which is scheduled to start at 5 p.m. Eastern Time on April 11 and end by 8:30 p.m.  Here’s a look at what some analysts say they hope they’ll see and some things they won’t.</p><p><strong>Lots of Video Clips of Content:</strong> Sanford Bernstein media analyst Todd Juenger wrote in a note to clients that investors hungry for video clips of shows and other snippets of content from the Disney + service should get their fill.</p><p>“They will perhaps show mocked-up screen shots of the interface,” Juenger wrote. “They will definitely remind everyone of the 2019 movie slate. They will introduce the Fox assets and capabilities, for the first time under the Disney umbrella. They will talk at high level about the appeal of the DTC strategy, the power of the Disney brands, the end market potential for DTC, the strategic benefits of having direct customer relationships (and how that can be exploited across divisions).”</p><p><strong>Guidance:</strong> Some analysts like Morgan Stanley’s Ben Swinburne have stated they hope Disney will give at least some guidance as to their streaming plans - although he wrote in a note to clients that he hopes they don’t give long-term subscriber guidance, given the inherent uncertainty. But as far as financial guidance, Juenger believes investors shouldn’t hold their breath.</p><p>“Disney is not going to put themselves in a box by giving guidance,” Juenger wrote. “Not going to make promises that they then have to keep (or break), even if circumstances unfold differently than they expect (which, of course, they will). Even on the most basic of inputs.”</p><p>But Juenger held out hope that Disney would show at least some signs of how aggressive they plan to be, but added that investors had to watch for them carefully.</p><p>“How willing they are to sacrifice near-term earnings/FCF in pursuit of the future opportunity,” Juenger wrote. “This will not be in the form of guidance, but in the form of the code words and body language chosen by the management team.</p><p>Wolfe Research managing director Marci Ryvicker is hoping for a little more, although she wrote in her weekly “What’s Hot, What’s Not” note to clients that any optimism around receiving meaningful insight may have more to do with whether investors are in for the long or short term.</p><p><a href="https://www.nexttv.com/news/disney-direct-to-consumer-international-losses-doubled-in-2018" data-original-url="https://www.multichannel.com/news/disney-direct-to-consumer-international-losses-doubled-in-2018">Related: Disney: Direct-to-Consumer, International Losses Doubled in 2018 </a></p><p>Ryvicker noted that hedge fund managers were worried that they wouldn’t get much out of the Disney Investor Day -- maybe some original content spend figures and international launch dates -- while long-term investors were more optimistic.</p><p>“On the other hand, a bunch of long-onlies are thinking we could get sub targets for the next few years as well as enough information to allow us to model all the way down to EPS for the DTCI segment,” Ryvicker wrote. “As one long-only said ‘I am not flying to [California] to watch movies…’”</p><p>Ryvicker added she was more on the positive side, and that the Investor Day is an opportunity for Disney to “clear up a lot of the uncertainty and explain its complete DTC strategy – with Hulu and Fox content, etc.”</p><figure class="van-image-figure pull-" data-bordeaux-image-check ><div class='image-full-width-wrapper'><div class='image-widthsetter' ><p class="vanilla-image-block" style="padding-top:56.25%;"><img id="gSRU7X5xNyQbqb6tYhixs9" name="" alt="" src="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/gSRU7X5xNyQbqb6tYhixs9.jpg" mos="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/gSRU7X5xNyQbqb6tYhixs9.jpg" align="" fullscreen="" width="" height="" attribution="" endorsement="" class="pull-"></p></div></div></figure><p>She has estimated that Disney would attract about 9 million subscribers to Disney + in the first year, ramping up to 31 million by 2023. She has also predicted the service would be priced around $7.99 per month -- based on current pricing for Netflix and CBS All Access -- rising gradually over time.</p><p>“As we’ve previously stated, we think Disney’s brand, reputation, and touch points across TV, films, retail and its parks should provide strong awareness for Disney+ (and the media attention certainly helps),” Ryvicker wrote in a research note.</p><p><a href="https://www.nexttv.com/news/disney-encouraged-by-streaming-numbers" data-original-url="https://www.multichannel.com/news/disney-encouraged-by-streaming-numbers">Related: Disney Encouraged By Streaming Numbers </a></p><p><strong>Exclusive, or Not:</strong> One of the biggest questions on analysts’ minds is whether Disney will put all of its content under its own umbrella or continue to license some to third parties.</p><p>Analysts have estimated that Disney receives between $5 billion and $8 billion annually from content licensing, so giving up that much revenue won’t be easy. But they also wonder how successful a streaming service can be if a large part of Disney’s library is available from other sources for free or at a reduced price.</p><p>Juenger estimated that Disney will take its content in-house, but that it will take time.</p><p>“For us, it comes down to this: the transition to DTC has been described by management as the single biggest strategic priority for the company,” Juenger wrote. “We expect, therefore, they will do everything in their power to maximize its chances of success. The entire proposition of DTC, we think, is supposed to be: ‘if you want to watch our great content, sign up to our service.’ If that's the proposition, then the only logically consistent expectation is that, in most cases, Disney will over time put its content exclusively on its DTC service.”</p><p><a href="https://www.nexttv.com/news/disney-closes-fox-deal" data-original-url="https://www.multichannel.com/news/disney-closes-fox-deal">Related: Disney Closes Fox Deal </a></p><p><strong>Hulu: </strong>Most analysts are hoping for a deeper dive into Hulu, which despite its 25 million customers and $4 billion in revenue, has taken a back seat to Disney +.</p><figure class="van-image-figure pull-" data-bordeaux-image-check ><div class='image-full-width-wrapper'><div class='image-widthsetter' ><p class="vanilla-image-block" style="padding-top:56.25%;"><img id="rbV58QevTTEBxNDi6jUR23" name="" alt="" src="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/rbV58QevTTEBxNDi6jUR23.jpg" mos="https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/rbV58QevTTEBxNDi6jUR23.jpg" align="" fullscreen="" width="" height="" attribution="" endorsement="" class="pull-"></p></div></div></figure><p>In a research note, Swinburne wrote that Disney’s control of 60% of Hulu -- via its purchase of 21st Century Fox assets -- brings immediate scale to the streaming service but also heavy losses -- between $1.3 billion and $1.6 billion per year, by some estimates.</p><p>“We hope Disney articulates a growth strategy at Hulu, including its latest thoughts on launching internationally,” Swinburne wrote.</p><p>For some, Hulu could be the streaming outlet for some of the racier Fox content Disney purchased as part of the Fox deal.</p><p>“Disney is not going to put R-rated content inside a Disney-branded product. (We agree),” Juenger wrote. “So the only logical conclusion is that Hulu becomes the home for this type of content, and it becomes a ‘companion’ product to Disney+.”</p><p>While that would appear to fragment Disney’s offerings -- forcing consumers to buy two products -- Juenger wrote it could work to Disney’s advantage.</p><p>“...Disney will co-market them and position it as being consumer friendly,” Juenger wrote. “‘We won't force you to buy both. You like our wholesome, family-oriented Disney content? Disney+ is for you. You like the edgier dramas and raunchy comedies? Hulu is for you. Better yet, buy them both and get a discount’. So far, so good.”</p><p>But unlike its much larger rival Netflix, Hulu has practically no international presence -- the service is available in Japan where it was sold to a local broadcaster in 2015. That could pose problems, Juenger added, given that the Hulu brand doesn’t mean anything outside the U.S. and that its international content portfolio -- basically the Fox library and ABC -- is a bit lacking.</p><p>“We're not sure that content proposition has much/any distinguished appeal to consumers in those markets,” Juenger wrote. “It's really no different than CBS All Access, or the upcoming Universal or Warner SVOD services. Basically each studio having its own individual service. Begging the question, will Disney heavily invest in licensing content in international markets from other third parties? Will Disney heavily invest in new, original, exclusive content for Hulu global?”</p>
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